Traders work on the floor of the NYSE.
NYSE
Stock futures were mostly calm on Monday as investors geared up for the highly-anticipated U.S. presidential election.
Futures connected to the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 futures were little changed. Nasdaq-100 futures dipped more than 0.1%.
Nvidia shares were up 2% in the premarket after S&P Dow Jones Indices announced late Friday that the chipmaker would replace rival Intel in the 30-stock Dow. The change, which will take effect at the end of the week, comes as Nvidia continues to rip higher while Intel languishes in the artificial intelligence race.
Nvidia is up 173% year to date, while Intel has lost more than half of its value in that time.
NVDA vs INTC year to date
Tuesday’s election results could play a pivotal role in where stocks finish off the year. The latest poll from NBC News shows a “deadlocked race” between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.
However, much of market aftershocks may hinge more heavily on which party takes control of Congress. If control of the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate is divided, it would likely mean a maintaining of the status quo. A Republican or Democratic sweep, however, would likely be coupled with a White House victory for the same party, and could mean fresh spending plans or a tax overhaul.
Some on Wall Street view the election as a key obstacle markets need to overcome to rally into year-end.
“The US election is incredibly important, but the process is likely to be incredibly noisy. Some patience, and a plan, can make the difference between navigating the noise and getting lost in it,” Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Zezas said in a note to clients.
Along with the election, Wall Street is bracing for the latest rate decision from the Federal Reserve. Traders are pricing in a 96% chance of a rate cut at the conclusion of the central bank’s policy meeting, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool. It would follow a supersize 50 basis point move in September.
Greater focus will hinge on commentary from Fed Chair Jerome Powell following the meeting, as Wall Street hunts for more insight into the central bank’s rate moves from here.
Earnings seasons presses on with about a fifth of the S&P 500 slated to report in the coming week. About 70% of companies that have already reported results have surpassed estimates, according to FactSet data. Super Micro Computer, Moderna, CVS Health, Qualcomm and Wynn Resorts are among the companies reporting in the coming days.
Stocks are coming off a strong start to November, with Amazon and big technology stocks boosting the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 0.8% and 0.4%, respectively. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added nearly 289 points, or about 0.7%.
— CNBC’s Sarah Min contributed reporting
