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HomeClimate CrisisWhy Has the Summertime Central U.S. Warming Hole Not Disappeared?

Why Has the Summertime Central U.S. Warming Hole Not Disappeared?


Fig. 13.

The probability of central U.S. summer averaged daily maximum temperature anomalies exceeding the hottest observed summer on record (+2.9°C in 1936) for (top) MPI-ESM1.2 and (bottom) GFDL SPEAR. Probabilities for an individual year are calculated as the fraction of ensemble members exceeding the summer-1936 threshold based on analysis of 150 model realizations for a centered 5-yr window. Departures are all calculated relative to a 1957–2000 reference.

Citation: Journal of Climate 36, 20; 10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0716.1



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